BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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St Mary's CA

Class: 1 Class Rank: 30 Overall: (27-6) Overall Strength =   43.02
Conference: West Coast Record: (14-3) | District: 1-02 Record: (22-4)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-03-2025 Home    W   *  53.53  84  58    1 113 (24-10) St Thomas MN           10.66     15.34                      
 2 11-07-2025 Home    W   *  36.29  87  66    1 301 (13-19) Chattanooga            -6.58 *   27.58                      
 3 11-11-2025 Home    W   *  49.37  90  60    1 226 (15-17) Ohio                    6.51     23.49                      
 4 11-14-2025 Home    W   *  56.65  80  49    1 137 (19-14) North Texas            13.78     17.22                      
 5 11-19-2025 Home    W   *  37.44  85  72    1 152 (20-12) Arkansas St            -5.43     18.43                      
 6 11-22-2025 Home    W      42.87  96  42   ZZ 133 ( 0- 1) UC Merced               0.00 *   54.00                      
 7 11-26-2025 Neutral W   *  40.32  70  65    1  77 (24-12) Wichita St             -2.55      7.55                      
 8 11-27-2025 Neutral W      49.17  77  66    1  55 (19-13) Virginia Tech           6.30      4.70                      
 9 11-28-2025 Neutral L      23.19  71  96    1  13 (27- 9) Vanderbilt            -19.68     -5.32                      
10 12-07-2025 Away    W   *  42.09  70  61    1 114 (20-14) Davidson               -0.78      9.78                      
11 12-14-2025 Neutral L   *  36.33  67  68    1  62 (20-12) Boise St               -6.54      5.54                      
12 12-19-2025 Home    W   *  39.83  88  75    1 119 (18-15) Florida Atlantic       -3.03     16.03                      
13 12-22-2025 Home    W   *  37.03  63  58    1  85 (23-13) Northern Iowa          -5.84     10.84                      
14 12-28-2025 Away    W * *  35.40  78  73    1 156 (15-17) Loy Marymount          -7.47     12.47                      
15 12-30-2025 Away    W * *  49.23  72  45    1 268 ( 9-23) Pepperdine              6.36     20.64                      
16 01-02-2026 Home    W * *  41.92  78  57    1 198 (15-19) Portland               -0.95     21.95                      
17 01-04-2026 Home    W   *  45.14  93  76    1 107 (21-14) Seattle                 2.27     14.73                      
18 01-10-2026 Home    W *    32.13  88  82    1 132 (12-20) Washington St         -10.74     16.74                      
19 01-13-2026 Away    W * *  46.93  82  68    1 117 (17-16) San Francisco           4.06      9.94                      
20 01-17-2026 Away    L * *  36.23  54  62    1  41 (26- 9) Santa Clara            -6.64     -1.36                      
21 01-21-2026 Home    W *    53.79  81  51    1 161 (17-16) Oregon St              10.92     19.08                      
22 01-24-2026 Away    W * *  32.33  75  69    1 198 (15-19) Portland              -10.54     16.54                      
23 01-31-2026 Away    L * *  44.50  65  73    1  17 (31- 4) Gonzaga                 1.63     -9.63                      
24 02-04-2026 Home    W * *  46.67  87  60    1 223 (12-21) San Diego               3.80     23.20                      
25 02-07-2026 Home    W * *  52.53  79  54    1 117 (17-16) San Francisco           9.66     15.34                      
26 02-11-2026 Home    W * *  44.82  88  60    1 268 ( 9-23) Pepperdine              1.95 *   26.05                      
27 02-14-2026 Away    W * *  44.48  72  61    1 108 (18-15) Pacific                 1.62      9.38                      
28 02-18-2026 Away    W   *  35.55  72  70    1 107 (21-14) Seattle                -7.32      9.32                      
29 02-21-2026 Away    W *    47.54  83  67    1 132 (12-20) Washington St           4.67     11.33                      
30 02-25-2026 Home    W * *  57.82  86  67    1  41 (26- 9) Santa Clara            14.96      4.04                      
31 02-28-2026 Home    W * *  58.10  70  59    1  17 (31- 4) Gonzaga                15.23     -4.23                      
32 03-09-2026 Neutral L * *  36.53  71  76    1  41 (26- 9) Santa Clara            -6.34      1.34                      
33 03-19-2026 Neutral L      28.92  50  63    1  44 (22-12) Texas A&M             -13.95      0.95                      
      Averages              42.87  77.3 64.5

Best game:   58.10 = 11 point win over Gonzaga
Worst game:  23.19 = 25 point loss to Vanderbilt
Team stdev:   8.53